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Forex factory eur/usd thread up clothing

Опубликовано в Oil trend forex | Октябрь 2, 2012

forex factory eur/usd thread up clothing

Put up some freakin charts or post some numbers, just post after post of how and as with most posters here adds nothing to the thread. Share ideas, debate tactics, and swap war stories with forex traders from around the world. Today's plan: stay long until /22 and then sell the sh*t out of this pair.. *Of course I meant: selling only AFTER confirmation! Best. MARCO CARZANIGA ONE INVESTING Rafay is on supported process that able to. Demo programs matching window a laptop for free, command the power since. Open Source the file without extension boosts the your firewall. This is TweakShot Screen and the queasy come-ons. File storage think we.

Nevertheless, it would find some hurdles on the way south. Breach of the latter would expose September 3, , daily low at 1. The immediate drop in Russian exports as a result of apparent maintenance issues comes against the backdrop of severe sanctions placed by Western nations on the Russian economy in response to its invasion of Ukraine.

And more sanctions may well be forthcoming in the next few days, with EU nations reportedly split over to implement a Russian oil import ban and with US President Joe Biden set to arrive in the EU on Wednesday. Elsewhere, the latest official weekly US inventory figures were bullish, with headline crude oil inventories posting a larger than expected draw of more than 2. US production, meanwhile, remained unchanged at Despite a risk-off market mood in the financial markets, courtesy of Russia — Ukraine tensions and hawkish Federal Reserve expectations of rate hikes larger than 25 bps, the Mexican peso rally has extended to seven consecutive days.

Risk aversion is back again. US Treasury yields are almost flat, as shown by the year T-note, down for the first time in the week one basis point, at 2. Of late, Russian President Vladimir Putin said they intend to use Russian roubles when selling gas to non-friendly countries , which caused a jump in oil prices, benefiting the peso prospects due to the Mexican economy being dependent on crude exports. This is expected by the majority of analysts, and the market is fully priced for a 50bp move.

Earlier, Fed Chief Powell talked about digital currencies, leaving monetary policy aside. Meanwhile, Cleveland Fed President Loretta said that the Fed would need to do some 50 bps moves this year while favoring frontloading rate hikes to better position themselves for how the US economy evolves in the second half of On its way south, it has broken several support levels, like the Though subdued price action in US bond market meaning unchanged yields removes one major tailwind for the pair, higher oil prices with US President Joe Biden due to arrive in Europe on Wednesday and Western nations subsequently expected to announce new sanctions against Russia is undermining the yen.

The US is net crude oil exporter, shielding the buck from the negative impact oil price upside, whereas Japan is a big net energy importer. This is reinforcing the hawkish message conveyed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Monday and is underpinning the US dollar even if the move higher in US yields has run out of steam. The hawkish shift from the Fed serving to ensure that US bonds cannot be used as a safe haven amid the ongoing Russo-Ukraine conflict, making a significant reversal lower in yields unlikely.

Higher yields mean the US dollar is the haven of choice to hedge geopolitical risk, as opposed to the yen. A score above Looking to the rest of the week, more Fed speak, flash March US PMIs and Japanese Tokyo inflation data will all be worth watching, while traders continue to monitor geopolitical developments.

The real neutral rate is about 0. If inflation comes down, we might find just a little restrictive policy is just right, but if inflation moves up, we will need to be more restrictive, she noted. We are prepared to do whatever its takes to achieve price stability, Daly continued, adding that policymakers project a front-loading of rate increases. The US dollar is also appreciating in a risk-averse environment, mainly against its European rivals.

Commodity-linked currencies, on the other hand, are finding support in soaring oil prices, reaching fresh multi-month highs versus the greenback. Meanwhile, US indexes remain in the red, maintaining Gold Price afloat. US indexes had briefly extended their slides after the initial slump, now consolidating early losses. The Nasdaq Composite is doing better than its counterparts, down a modest 0. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, on the other hand, remains near its daily lows, currently down points.

Additionally, the greenback benefited from a more aggressive US Federal Reserve stance on monetary policy, as current actions to tame inflation have probed insufficient. The yield on the 2-year note peaked at 2. The soft tone of equities is being exacerbated by soaring oil prices. In the absence of relevant macroeconomic figures, financial markets rotate around the Russia-Ukraine crisis.

Crude oil prices are once again on the run, following some comments coming from Moscow. Higher oil prices provide unexpected support to Gold Price. Market participants are looking for a clear break of any of those extremes for more sustained directional strength. Technical readings in the daily chart suggest that Gold Price may come under further pressure, as it has been unable to move beyond a flat 20 DMA for over a week, meeting sellers around it.

The same chart shows that technical indicators are directionless around their midlines, reflecting side-lined speculative interest. Reflection of the market mood is equities, with European and US stocks indices falling. The US economic docket would feature more Fed speakers.

On Wednesday, Mester said that the Fed would need to do some 50 bps moves this year while favoring frontloading rate hikes to better position themselves for however the US economy evolves. Breach of the latter would expose January 13 previous resistance-now-support at 0. The flash estimate of March Eurozone Consumer Confidence dropped to That was much steeper than the expected drop to At current levels in the 1. Headline UK inflation hit its highest in years at 6.

Attention now turns to remarks from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, who will be appearing at a summit later in the day. In addition, investors' hunt for safety collaborated with the demand for bonds and forced yields on both sides of the Atlantic to shed part of the recent gains.

In the domestic calendar, the European Commission will publish the flash gauge of the Consumer Confidence in the region for the current month. Across the pond, New Home Sales contracted 2. So far, pockets of strength in the single currency should appear reinforced by the speculation of the start of the hiking cycle by the ECB at some point by year end, while higher German yields, elevated inflation, the decent pace of the economic recovery and auspicious results from key fundamentals in the region are also supportive of a firmer euro for the time being.

Eminent issues on the back boiler : Asymmetric economic recovery post-pandemic in the euro area. Presidential elections in France in April. Impact of the geopolitical conflict in Ukraine. So far, spot is retreating 0. On the other hand, a drop below 1. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened points lower, having ever since extended its slump to currently trade roughly points lower.

Swiss National Bank SNB meets on Thursday, March 24 at GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the expectations forecast by the economists and researchers of four major banks upcoming central bank's Interest Rate Decision. The SNB is set to keep rates on hold at Importantly, market participants will watch closely the language and classification of the Swiss franc.

The war between Russia and Ukraine does not help. Switzerland imports a relatively large volume of metals and energy, which will add to the already rising inflation pressure. Nonetheless, the current market turmoil has resulted in material safe haven flow and FX appreciation, which is why we expect the central bank to stay put for now.

Swaps market is pricing in over 50 bp of tightening over the next 12 months, which seems too aggressive. We find this argument less and less convincing, though. The strong franc remains convenient for the SNB for now given the prospects for a higher inflation trajectory from 1.

More interesting is what happens thereafter — rising core inflation suggests the SNB is likely to change little in its assessment. The SNB may only seek to weaken the franc to the 1. In the view of analysts at Rabobank, the pair is likely to trend higher into the middle of the year and beyond.

This week ECB President Lagarde offered reassurances that this was not on the cards and that even on the bleakest scenario growth that the Eurozone would still achieve 2. The pair witnessed modest pullback from the 0. The recent blowout rally in the US Treasury bond yields, bolstered by the Fed's hawkish outlook, acted as a tailwind for the US dollar.

It is worth recalling that the Fed last week indicated that it could raise rates at all the remaining six meetings in Moreover, Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the US central bank could adopt a more aggressive policy response to combat stubbornly high inflation. This, in turn, pushed the yield on the benchmark year US government bond to the highest level since earlier this Wednesday.

Apart from this, modest pullback in the equity markets drove some haven flows towards the greenback and weighed on the perceived riskier aussie. The lack of progress in the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations kept investors on the edge and benefitted the safe-haven buck. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that talks with Ukraine are difficult as Kyiv is constantly changing its position. Separately, Italy's Prime Minister Mario Draghi noted that Russia is not showing interest in a truce for successful peace talks.

The downside, however, remains cushioned amid rising commodity prices, which continued lending some support to the resources-linked Australian dollar. In fact, commodity prices have been facing upward pressure amid concerns over global supply chain disruptions following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the imposition of fresh COVID restrictions in China. A break below the latter would open up additional losses to the 1. Extra weakness is expected to meet the next support at the weekly low at 1.

Stoltenberg warned Russia that any use of chemical weapons in Ukraine would have far-reaching consequences. Stoltenberg also reiterated his clear message to Russia that a nuclear war cannot be won and that any use of nuclear weapons will change the nature of the conflict.

Stoltenberg announced that he expects a major increase in the Eastern part of the NATO alliance's strength at tomorrow's meeting, saying that the military alliance needs to reset deterrence and defense for the longer term. He added that NATO leaders need to provide additional support, including cybersecurity assistance and equipment to protect against a chemical attack or nuclear attack. Stoltenberg added that NATO has a responsibility to ensure that the war doesn't escalate beyond Ukraine's borders.

Stoltenberg added that NATO allies will address the role of China in the Ukraine crisis at tomorrow's summit and said that allies are concerned that China could provide material support to Russia for its invasion.

The pair prolonged its recent strong bullish trajectory witnessed over the past three weeks or so and gained strong follow-through traction during the first half of the trading on Wednesday. The market sentiment remain fragile amid the lack of progress in the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations.

Italy's Prime Minister Mario Draghi noted that Russia is not showing interest in a truce for successful peace talks. Separately, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that talks with Ukraine are difficult as Kyiv is constantly changing its position. The incoming geopolitical headlines tempered investors' appetite for perceived riskier assets. This, in turn, prompted some profit-taking amid extremely overbought conditions on short-term charts. The downside, however, remains cushioned amid the divergence in the monetary policy stance adopted by the Fed and the Bank of Japan.

The Fed indicated last week that it could raise rates at all the six remaining meetings in Moreover, Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the US central bank could adopt a more aggressive policy to combat stubbornly high inflation. The markets already seem to have started pricing in the possibility of a 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting and pushed the yield on the benchmark year US government bond to the highest level since Conversely, the Japanese year remained anchored below the BoJ's 0.

In the absence of any relevant economic data, traders will take cues from developments surrounding the Russia-Ukraine saga. This, along with the US bond yields should produce some opportunities. Norges Bank meets on Thursday, March 24 at GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the expectations forecast by the economists and researchers of seven major banks upcoming central bank's Interest Rate Decision.

The key rate will be raised from 0. We expect a significantly higher rate path throughout the forecast period, which will show three more rate hikes this year and four rate hikes next year — suggesting a key rate at 2. However, we expect only one additional hike to be shown this year and another next, which might come as disappointment to markets.

This is in line with both the consensus and market pricing. The question is which signals will be given about interest rates going forward. We think Norges Bank will use its judgement to signal a continued gradual normalisation of monetary policy with four rate hikes this year and two next year. Swaps market is pricing in a terminal policy rate of 1. Swaps market is pricing in nearly bp of tightening over the next 12 months.

We concur and see the bank continuing with its current pace of quarterly 25 bp hikes. Markets are not pricing much more tightening than already signalled by the Bank, which leaves room for a hawkish surprise this week, and more NOK strength as a result.

Further, gradual hikes are seen over the next year and half to reach close to 1. Our projection entails four hikes this year, one each quarter, to end at 1. Market pricing is for close to five hikes this year and a target rate of 2. We see little reason for Norges Bank to be this aggressive this time around, as it would risk stifling the upswing and short-term outlook is more uncertain. The continuation of the bid tone in the index carries the potential to extend to the next target of note at the The breakout of this level should put a test of the peak at The current bullish stance in the index remains supported by the 6-month line just below The greenback gains bullish traction across the FX board, partially weighing on Gold Price.

The tax relief is estimated to be around GBP 5B in total. Cleveland Fed President Lorretta Mester become the latest of a growing throng of FOMC members to announce support for potential 50bps rate hikes at upcoming meetings and FX strategists think the ongoing hawkish shift in market expectations for Fed tightening in the coming year is providing ongoing support to the US dollar.

Energy prices have also turned higher amid fiery rhetoric from Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and further signs that Russo-Ukrainian peace talks are at a deadlock, coupled with fears about Russian exports. This is weighing on the euro and contributing to its relative underperformance on Wednesday versus most of its G10 peers. The pair staged a modest recovery from the two-month low, around the 1. In fact, the Fed indicated last week that it could raise rates at all the six remaining meetings in Adding to this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the US central bank could adopt a more aggressive policy response to combat high inflation.

The markets started pricing in a 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting and pushed the yield on the benchmark year US government bond yield to the highest level since Apart from this, the lack of progress in the Russia-Ukraine peace talks kept investors on the edge and benefitted the safe-haven buck. This, along with the disruption of Russian and Kazakh crude exports via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium CPC , boosted crude oil prices and extended some support to the Canadian dollar.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the recent pullback from the 1. In the absence of any relevant economic data, the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment will influence the USD. The cross has quickly left behind the previous YTD high beyond The door therefore remains open to a potential visit to the top at In the meantime, while above the day SMA A spokesperson for the German government said on Wednesday that they were not expecting a "big new sanctions package" on Russia to be announced at the EU summit, as reported by Reuters.

The spokesperson further confirmed that German Chancellor Olaf Scholz warned Russian President Vladimir Putin against using chemical or biological weapons in direct talks. An adviser for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Wednesday that they see the active phase of the war with Russia ending before the end of April, as reported by Reuters. These comments failed to help the market mood improve.

As of writing, US stock index futures were down between 0. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index was up 0. The uptick allowed the white metal to reverse a major part of the overnight slide to a multi-day low. The subsequent strength favours bullish traders and supports prospects for additional gains. That said, neutral technical indicators on the daily chart warrants some caution. This makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the The latter coincides with the day SMA and should act as a pivotal point, which if broken will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders.

The pair witnessed an intraday turnaround from the 1. The fact that the Bank of England had softened its language around the need for future rate hikes at the last week's meeting turned out to be a key factor that acted as a headwind for the British pound.

The headline CPI accelerated to the highest since March and came in at 6. This was above the expected rise to 5. It is worth recalling that the Fed indicated last week that it could raise rates at all the six remaining meetings in The markets were quick to react and started pricing in a 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting. This, in turn, pushed the yield on the benchmark year US government bond yield to the highest level since Apart from this, the lack of progress in the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations tempered investors' appetite for perceived riskier assets.

This was evident from modest pullback in the equity markets, which further benefitted the greenback's relative safe-haven status against its British counterpart. Apart from this, traders will take cues from fresh developments surrounding the Russia-Ukraine saga. Rising bond yields take their toll on gold. The yellow metal is less attractive as a non-interest-bearing alternative investment in this environment, strategists at Commerzbank report.

Several Fed representatives had likewise spoken out in favour of monetary policy being tightened more quickly or to a greater extent following the speech given by Fed Chair Powell. Yields on ten-year US Treasuries have now climbed further to 2. Rising yields and real interest rates make gold less attractive as a non-interest-bearing alternative investment. A more pronounced price slide is probably being prevented by the ongoing buying interest shown by ETF investors: according to Bloomberg, yesterday saw further inflows of nearly ten tons into the gold ETFs it tracks.

The European Commission announced on Wednesday that European companies affected by sanctions imposed on Russia will get up to , euros under looser state aid rules, as reported by Reuters. This announcement doesn't seem to be helping the market mood improve and the Euro Stoxx Index was last seen losing 0.

The market sentiment remains fragile amid the lack of progress in the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations. In fact, Italy's Prime Minister Mario Draghi noted that Russia is not showing interest in a truce for successful peace talks. This, in turn, tempered investors' appetite for perceived riskier assets, which was evident from modest pullback in the equity markets and benefitted the safe-haven precious metal.

The uptick assisted gold to recover a part of the overnight slide to the multi-day low, though the Fed's hawkish outlook might keep a lid on any meaningful upside. It is worth recalling that the Fed last week indicated it could raise rates at all the six remaining meetings in Adding to this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested on Tuesday that the US central bank could adopt a more aggressive response to combat stubbornly inflation.

The markets were quick to price in a 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting. The prospects for a faster policy tightening by the Fed pushed the yield on the benchmark year US government bond to its highest level since This, in turn, assisted the US dollar to attract some dip-buying and should act as a headwind for the dollar-denominated commodity. Hence, the focus will remain clued to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at the BIS innovation summit later this Wednesday, which might provide some impetus to the non-yielding gold.

From a technical perspective, the two-way price moves witnessed over the past one week or so points to indecision amid traders or the next leg of a directional move for gold. This comes on the back of the recent sharp pullback from the vicinity of the all-time high and could be categorized as a bearish consolidation phase.

That said, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through selling before positioning for any further depreciating move. The latter coincides with the top boundary of the aforementioned trading range, which if cleared decisively should pave the way for additional gains. In addition, German 10y bund yields correct lower and retest the 0.

The knee-jerk in yields follows the same performance in the rest of the global cash markets. In the domestic calendar, the European Commission EC will release the preliminary gauge of the Consumer Confidence in the region for the month of March. These comments don't seem to be having a noticeable impact on crude oil prices.

Germany's Ifo Institue announced on Wednesday that they revised the economic growth forecast lower to 2. Assessing this revision, "the Russian attack is dampening the economy via significantly higher raw material prices, sanctions, increasing supply bottlenecks for raw materials and increased economic uncertainty," Ifo's chief economist Timo Wollmershaeuser. Meanwhile, the German inflation forecast is revised higher to 5. Germany's DAX 30 Index showed no immediate reaction to this report and was last seen posting small daily gains at 14, Following the overnight sharp turnaround from the 0.

The recent runaway rally in the US Treasury bond yields acted as a tailwind for the greenback. This, in turn, extended support to the major, though the uptick lacked bullish conviction. The sell-off in the US bond market gathered pace after Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the US central bank could adopt a more aggressive stance to combat inflation. The markets were quick to price in a 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting and pushed the yield on the year US bond to the highest level since , which helped limit the downside for the buck.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the pair has bottomed out and positioning for an extension of this week's bounce from sub German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said on Wednesday that he will be discussing high energy prices and market speculation with European Union EU leaders this week, as reported by Reuters.

The shared currency stays on the back foot early Wednesday. The underlying tone still appears to be a tad firm and we continue to see chance for USD to rise above 6. The next resistance at 6. Support is at 6. As highlighted, the recent upward pressure has eased and USD is likely to consolidate and trade within a broad range of 6. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Wednesday that talks with Ukraine were difficult because Kyiv was constantly changing its position, as reported by Reuters.

The market mood sours in the early European session on Wednesday. The Euro Stoxx Index, which opened in positive territory, was last seen trading flat on the day and the US stock index futures were down between 0. The index regains upside traction and reclaims ground lost on Tuesday on the back of the offered tone in the risk-linked assets, while the recent strong upside in US yields appears to have run out of some steam for the time being.

Also collaborating with the bid bias in the buck appears the absence of news from the geopolitical scenario along with the lack of progress seen in the Russia-Ukraine peace talks in past hours. In addition, San Francisco Fed M. The weekly recovery in the dollar met resistance near Concerns surrounding the geopolitical landscape prop up further the demand for the buck in combination with the offered stance in the risk-associated complex. Looking at the broader picture, bouts of risk aversion — exclusively emanating from Ukraine - should underpin inflows into the safe havens and lend legs to the dollar at a time when its constructive outlook remains well supported by the current elevated inflation narrative, a potential more aggressive tightening stance from the Fed and the solid performance of the US economy.

Eminent issues on the back boiler : Escalating geopolitical effervescence vs. Russia and China. US-China trade conflict. Now, the index is up 0. On the flip side, the next down barrier emerges at Economists at ING expect the pair to reach the level in the near-term. Meanwhile, the fierce hawkish re-pricing of Fed tightening expectations is set to offer a positive undercurrent to the dollar, mostly to the detriment of low-yielders.

We think this is an environment that should favour the dollar, net of risk-sentiment swings, especially against low-yielders exposed to higher yields and European currencies exposed to lingering uncertainty in Ukraine. The cross built on the previous day's blowout rally and gained some follow-through traction through the first half of the trading on Wednesday. This marked the fourth successive day of a positive move - also the eight in the previous nine - and was sponsored by the heavily offered tone surrounding the Japanese yen.

Despite worries about the economic impact of the war in Ukraine, an extended sell-off in the bond markets continued driving flows toward big tech and other beaten-down stocks. Spot prices, however, struggled to find acceptance above the The fact that the Bank of England had softened its language around the need for future rate hikes at the last week's meeting held back the GBP bulls from placing fresh bets.

The pound was little moved this morning as annual inflation in the UK hit highest level in three decades at 6. The headline rate reached 6. After that, the next big level to watch is the 0. Economists at ING still expect the pair to move downward to the 1. Economists at OCBC do not rule out further extension towards the 0. A hawkish tone should help the greenback find demand and vice versa. Additionally, the European Commission will release the preliminary Consumer Confidence data for March, which is expected to decline to In case this level turns into support, the next bullish targets align at 1.

If a four-hour candle closes below that level, sellers could look to take control and drag the pair toward 1. The pair witnessed modest retracement slide from the four-month high, around the 0. The sell-off in the US bond market picked up pace after Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the US central bank could adopt a more aggressive stance to combat inflation. Investors were quick to price in a 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting and pushed the yield on the year US bond to the highest level since , which helped limit the USD losses.

Traders will further take cues from fresh developments surrounding the Russia-Ukraine saga, which will drive the broader market risk sentiment and commodity prices. Economists at Credit Suisse stick to their 0. We would consider our scenario incorrect at levels above 1. The pair was last seen trading around the 1.

The pair built on the previous day's breakout momentum through the top boundary of a multi-day-old trading range resistance and gained some follow-through traction on Wednesday. The intraday uptick, however, lacked bullish conviction and faltered just ahead of the 1.

That said, the recent strong run-up in the US Treasury bond yields, bolstered by the prospects for a faster policy tightening by the Fed, helped limit deeper losses for the buck. In fact, the Fed last week indicated it could raise rates at all the six remaining meetings in Adding to this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the US central bank could adopt a more aggressive response to combat stubbornly inflation.

The markets were quick to price in a 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting and pushed the yield on the year US bond to the highest level since Meanwhile, core CPI jumped to a 5. The readings were hotter than market expectations, though did little to provide any impetus to the British pound amid a dovish assessment of the recent BoE decision.

It is worth recalling that the UK central bank also softened its language around the need for future rate hikes at its meeting last week. Further USD strength is not ruled out but in view of the deeply overbought conditions, a sustained rise above the major resistance at On the downside, a breach of As USD rallied past our objectives, in our latest narrative from yesterday 22 Mar, spot at However, USD blew past the While it is left to be seen if USD can maintain the current frenetic pace of advance, the risk is clearly for further USD strength.

The next resistance level of note is at Only a breach of Considering preliminary readings from CME Group for natural gas futures markets, open interest reversed two daily pullbacks in a row and increased by around 2.

Volume followed suit and rose by around The dollar failed to preserve its strength in the second half of the day on Tuesday and the US Dollar Index ended up closing in negative territory. Although the benchmark year US Treasury bond yield climbed to its highest level since May , the risk-positive market environment made it difficult for the greenback to find demand. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Tuesday that they were ready to discuss commitment not to join NATO and added that they could also discuss the status of Crimea and Donbass after the ceasefire.

Commenting on the economic impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, International Monetary Fund IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said that the war would slow economic growth but added that they were not yet expecting a global recession. The pair continues to edge higher early Wednesday toward 1. Gold fell sharply on Tuesday and erased all the gains it registered on Monday.

The pair preserves its bullish momentum and trades at its strongest level since February Earlier in the day, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said that they were likely to order an additional economic stimulus package by the end of March to cushion the impact of the rising prices of oil and other goods. Conditions are deeply overbought and while further AUD strength is not ruled out, a break of the major resistance at 0.

On the downside, a breach of 0. In our latest narrative from yesterday 22 Mar, spot at 0. However, AUD was in a hurry as it cracked 0. While shorter-term conditions are overbought, further AUD strength appears likely.

That said, 0. Looking ahead, if there is a clear break of 0. Overall, the current AUD strength could last for a while more and only a breach of 0. This print surpassed the market expectation of 5. Annual Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose to 5. Further details of the report revealed that the annual Retail Price Index climbed to 8.

These figures don't seem to be having a significant impact on the British pound's performance against its rivals. Volume, instead, went up for the second consecutive session, this time by around The precious metal bounced off an upward sloping support line from mid-December during the last week. That said, bearish MACD signals also favor sellers even if the quote stays 1. GBP subsequently dipped to 1. The rally has room to extend but overbought conditions suggest that the major resistance at 1.

On the downside, a breach of 1. As GBP strengthen, in our latest narrative from yesterday 22 Mar, spot at 1. The strong boost in momentum is likely lead to further GBP strength to 1. Open interest in gold futures markets resumed the downtrend and shrank by nearly 5K contracts on Tuesday according to advanced figures from CME Group.

On the other hand, volume rose for the third session in a row, this time by around 4. The Loonie pair broke key supports the previous day while refreshing multi-day low amid broad US dollar weakness. Against this backdrop, the US year Treasury yields renewed the highest levels since May earlier in Asia, around 2. However, the yearly low surrounding 1. While our view turned out to be correct as EUR dropped to 1. Despite the rebound, upward momentum has not improved by much.

That said, there is room for EUR to edge higher but any advance is likely limited to a test of 1. Support is at 1. As highlighted, EUR appears to have moved into a consolidation phase and is likely to trade between 1. The major has performed lackluster in March and has been stuck around period Exponential Moving Average EMA , which is trading near The upper end of the rising wedge is marked from February 24 high at While the period EMA at For the downside, the Turkish lira bulls need to violate March 17 low at Breach of the latter will expose the pair to the period EMA at On the contrary, greenback bulls can gain momentum if the asset surpassed March 14 high at Despite several global agencies raising red flags on the global economic damage due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the market mood remains upbeat, reflective of the 0.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index remains on the backfoot below The headline CPI inflation is expected to refresh year high with a 5. Talking about the monthly figures, the CPI could increase to 0. Rising energy prices will remain a key driver of UK consumer inflation in February, with the median forecast 0.

UK Chancellor Sunak will deliver the spring statement mini-budget , with a focus on the cost of living pressures from soaring energy prices. Readers can find FXStreet's proprietary deviation impact map of the event below.

However, Treasury bond yields and GILTS are also likely to play an important role in determining short-term cable moves. Technically, a clear upside break of the one-month-old horizontal resistance, now support around 1. The Consumer Price Index released by the Office for National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services.

The purchasing power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative or Bearish. Speaking in Indonesia, the Russian ambassador said that G20 is not a forum to discuss or solve the crisis in Ukraine. It should be noted that the metal dropped the most since June the previous week and stays depressed so far during the current week.

In doing so, the bright metal struggles for clear direction as the US dollar refrain from rising despite multi-month high Treasury yields. Also challenging the odds of improving are the Western sanctions. Amid these plays, the US year Treasury yields renew the highest levels since May , around 2. On an hourly scale, Platinum has sensed resistance while overstepping period Exponential Moving Average EMA , which has dragged the asset lower.

The precious metal has failed to sustain above On the contrary, bulls can obtain strength if they violate Breach of the latter will expose it to an ultimate target of Also challenging the major currency pair is the cautious mood ahead of the speech from Federal Reserve Fed Chairman Jerome Powell amid record losses in bond markets. That said, the US year Treasury yields renew the highest levels since May , around 2.

On the contrary, European policymakers remain divided over the Russian sanctions due to their reliance on the oil imports from Moscow. However, risk catalysts are important too. However, a downward sloping resistance line from February 10, close to 1.

Markets in the Asian domain part ways with the Chinese stocks as the latter has shown subdued performance in the Tokyo session while other markets are performing stronger. At the press time, Hang Seng surges 1. Meanwhile, the China A50 is trading flat to negative.

It is worth noting that the global equities have shrugged off the pessimism due to the adaptation of an aggressive hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve Fed to corner the inflation. Usually, central banks start increasing interest rates when it finds inflation surging rooftops. Also, central banks stop providing helicopter money to the economy when they find that economy is strong enough and is able to perform itself without any material support.

Asian markets are getting mature these days and are taking the announcement of six more interest rate hikes in a positive way. Therefore, a sense of optimism in the Asian markets has been witnessed from a spree of upticks in the last few trading sessions. Meanwhile, the year US Treasury yields are auctioning near 2. It is highly likely that a roadmap of rate hikes will be dictated as six more rate hikes are to be allocated by the end of Underpinning the latest bond round is the Fedspeak that keeps inflating expectations of faster rate hikes from the US central bank.

A clear upside break of the month-old rising trend line, around That said, the Indian rupee INR pair portrayed a bear-cross moving average formation suggesting further downside the previous day while posting the biggest daily loss in a week.

On a clear break of the However, the monthly low near Following that, a run-up towards the The pair has been performing stronger after hitting a low of 0. Generally, a rising channel indicates back and forth moves along with a positive bias. Every pullback towards the lower end of the rising channel originates as a buying event for the market participants.

The oscillator is not indicating any sign of divergence and overbought. It is worth noting that the oscillator has shown a loud move entered into a bullish range from the bearish range of Usually, these louder moves indicate significant control of the bulls on the asset.

For further upside, bulls need to violate the upper end of the rising channel and breach the 1 November low at 0. She added: "And by removing the UK's retaliatory tariffs, we reopen the British market to beloved American products. The quotes on this page are relevant for trading precious metals in their pure, standard, exchange-approved, bar form. Fabrication costs for various precious metals products are not included. Please visit the Kitco Store for our product selections. Live Spot Gold.

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